Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs Catania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Catania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Parma win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Catania has a probability of 30.96% and a draw has a probability of 29.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Catania win is 0-1 (10.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.14%).

Result

Parma 39.71% (-0.04)
Draw 29.33% (+0.35)
Catania 30.96% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.03% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.16% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 32.84% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 41.28% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 58.72% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 21.73% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 78.27% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 11.43% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.57% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Parma 28.72% (+0.10)
Draw 46.54% (-0.06)
Catania 24.74% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Parma 49.53% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.64% (+0.17)
Catania 39.83% (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 45.44% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 43.05% (+0.08)
Over 9 34.77% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.67%
Under 9 54.56% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 25.64% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 74.36% (+0.05)

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 34.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.12% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.08% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.17% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.83% (-0.02)

Catania Goals

Over 0.5 63.48% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 36.52% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 28.29% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 71.71% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 9.05% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 90.95% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Parma 39.71%
Draw 29.33%
Catania 30.96%
Parma
1-0 @ 11.6% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.05)
Other @ 4% (-0.02)
Total : 39.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 10.64% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.17% (+0.05)
Total : 29.33%
Catania
0-1 @ 10.6% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.79% (-0.07)
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head

Serie A
Feb 9, 2014 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marco Marchionni 24' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Paletta 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 21'
  • yellowcard Gino Peruzzi 25'
  • yellowcard Francesco Lodi 69'
Serie A
Sep 22, 2013 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Marco Marchionni 22'
  • yellowcard Felipe 53'
  • yellowcard Mattia Cassani 68'
Serie A
Feb 24, 2013 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Gabriel Paletta 57' yellowcard
  • Amauri Carvalho De Oliveira 87' goal
  • goal Francesco Lodi 5'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 30'
  • goal Keko 44'
  • yellowcard Nicola Legrottaglie 87'
  • redcard Nicola Legrottaglie 88'
Serie A
Oct 7, 2012 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alejandro Gómez 2' goal
  • Marco Biagianti 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 79' goal
  • yellowcard Daniele Galloppa 27'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ludovic Biabiany 35'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lucarelli 52'
  • yellowcard Yohan Benalouane 61'
  • redcard Yohan Benalouane 69'
  • yellowcard Marco Parolo 74'
  • yellowcard Antonio Mirante 84'