Serie A Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 11.00am
Como 1 - 0 Parma
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 7.45pm
Sassuolo 2 - 3 Lecce
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ismael Kone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Parma has a probability of 33.49% and a draw has a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Parma win is 1-0 (10.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result

Parma 33.49%
Draw 28.11%
Sassuolo 38.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.39% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 31.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.6% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.4%
Under 3.5 77.6%
Over 4.5 11.1% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.9% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Parma 24.19%
Draw 47.76%
Sassuolo 28.05%

Team To Score First

Parma 42.17% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.83% (-0.01)
Sassuolo 48%

Corners

Over 8 54.09%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 34.46%
Over 9 42.78%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 45.91%
Over 10.5 32.47%
Under 10.5 67.53%

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 30.65% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.35% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.31% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.69%
Under 3.5 97.31%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.84% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.11% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.89% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Parma 33.49%
Draw 28.09%
Sassuolo 38.35%
Parma
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.09%
Sassuolo
0-1 @ 10.87% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.8% (-0.02)
Total : 38.35%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Kristian Thorstvedt 12' goal
  • Ismaël Koné 59' yellowcard
  • Walid Cheddira 74' yellowcard
  • Luca Moro 85' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Pierini 85' yellowcard
  • Fali Candé 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mateo Pellegrino 24'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Estévez 70'
  • yellowcard Pontus Almqvist 70'
  • yellowcard Sascha Britschgi 78'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jasmin Kurtic 28' yellowcard
  • Bruno Alves 32' goal
  • goal Manuel Locatelli 25'
  • goal Gregoire Defrel 62'
  • goal Jeremie Boga 69'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vlad Chiriches 1' yellowcard
  • Maxime Lopez 72' yellowcard
  • Rogerio 77' yellowcard
  • Filip Duricic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Juraj Kucka 37'
  • yellowcard Gaston Brugman 81'
  • yellowcard Maxime Busi 84'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2020 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Citta del Tricolore
  • Marlon Santos 26' yellowcard
  • Domenico Berardi 58' yellowcard
  • Manuel Locatelli 77' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Bourabia 81' yellowcard
  • Gianmarco Ferrari 90' yellowcard
  • goal Gervinho 25'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Gagliolo 44'
  • yellowcard Vincent Laurini 72'
  • yellowcard Alberto Grassi 87'
  • yellowcard Gaston Brugman 90'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 25, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
  • Gervinho 20' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 89' yellowcard
  • Simone Iacoponi 93' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Bourabia 95' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Obiang 73'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2019 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore (Reggio nell'Emilia)
  • Alessandro Matri 53' yellowcard
  • Gianmarco Ferrari 86' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sensi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Scozzarella 75'
  • yellowcard Federico Dimarco 90'