Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.