Serie A Gameweek 37
May 17, 2026 7.45pm
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.45pm
Torino 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ismael Kone

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 7.45pm
Lecce 0 - 1 Juventus
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sassuolo win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw has a probability of 25.86% and a win for Lecce has a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Lecce win it is 0-1 (7.24%).

Result

Sassuolo 49.72%
Draw 25.86%
Lecce 24.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.03% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.17% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.83% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 49.34% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 50.66% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 27.35% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.65% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.26% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.74% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 34.43%
Draw 46.61%
Lecce 18.96%

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 55.53% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.89% (-0.02)
Lecce 36.58%

Corners

Over 8 58.58%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 29.61%
Over 9 46.46%
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 41.42%
Over 10.5 35.09%
Under 10.5 64.91%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 46.11% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.89% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.96% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.02% (-0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 59.52% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.48% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.79% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 8.41% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.59% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.93% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 49.72%
Draw 25.86%
Lecce 24.44%
Sassuolo
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.77%
Total : 49.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 25.86%
Lecce
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.44%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 18, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Sep 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • goal Tarik Muharemovic 13'
  • yellowcard Cristian Volpato 19'
  • yellowcard Josh Doig 54'
  • yellowcard Luca Lipani 64'
  • yellowcard Fabio Grosso 68'
  • goal Luca D'Andrea 79'
  • yellowcard Luca D'Andrea 81'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Armand Lauriente 19' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Gendrey 11'
  • goal Patrick Dorgu 15'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 61'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Hamza Rafia 44' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 48' goal
  • Nikola Krstovic 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Boloca 1'
  • goal Domenico Berardi 22'
  • yellowcard Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 43'
  • yellowcard Gian Marco Ferrari 80'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • goal Kristian Thorstvedt 65'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Matheus Henrique 37' yellowcard
  • Domenico Berardi 40' goal
  • Domenico Berardi 55' yellowcard
  • Rogerio 66' yellowcard
  • Davide Frattesi 77' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Toljan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joan Gonzalez 68'