Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.