Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 7, 2026 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Daniel Maldini 29' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola  90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaspar 37'
  • yellowcard Jamil Siebert 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Wladimiro Falcone  90'+7'

Cagliari vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Daniel Maldini

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 5.30pm
Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lassana Coulibaly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Cagliari 38.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 27.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Lecce 34.28% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 45.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 54.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 25.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 13.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.08% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 30.18%
Draw 47.52%
Lecce 22.3%

Team To Score First

Cagliari 47.81% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Lecce 43.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.34%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 24.95%
Over 9 50.76%
Equal 9 12.59%
Under 9 36.66%
Over 10.5 38.53%
Under 10.5 61.47%

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 35.63% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 64.37% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 13.81% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 86.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.47% ▲ (+0.07)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 66.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 32.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cagliari 38.59%
Draw 27.14%
Lecce 34.28%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 38.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.14%
Lecce
0-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.28%

Head to Head

Serie A
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Gabriele Zappa 57' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 57' yellowcard
  • Semih Kilicsoy 57' yellowcard
  • Luca Mazzitelli 57' yellowcard
  • Semih Kılıçsoy 57' yellowcard
  • Yael Trepy 79' yellowcard
  • goal Omri Gandelman 64'
  • goal Ylber Ramadani 76'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 80'
  • yellowcard Nikola Stulic 80'
  • yellowcard Jamil Siebert 86'
  • yellowcard Omri Gandelman 86'
  • yellowcard Oumar Ngom 86'
  • yellowcard Sadik Fofana 90'+2'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ndary Adopo 52' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 60' goal
  • Sebastiano Luperto 65' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 80' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 83' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 42'
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 45'
  • redcard Ante Rebic 73'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 26' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 45'+1' redcard
  • Wladimiro Falcone 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 24'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 48'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 70'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Yerry Mina 26' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 42' redcard
  • Claudio Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 44' redcard
  • Simone Scuffet 64' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 78' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 14'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 54'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 74'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Valentin Gendrey 31' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Dossena 35'
  • goal Gaetano Oristanio 68'