Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 7, 2026 5.30pm
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Alessandro Romano

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 5.30pm
Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Olaf Gorter

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cagliari win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 34.21% and a draw has a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Lecce win is 0-1 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Cagliari 38.69% (-2.10)
Draw 27.06% (+0.20)
Lecce 34.21% (+1.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66% (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.52% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 29.48% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 45.86% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 54.1% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 25.72% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.28% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.1% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 85.9% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 30.18% (+3.38)
Draw 47.52% (-1.51)
Lecce 22.3% (-1.88)

Team To Score First

Cagliari 47.84% (+3.25)
No Goal 8.81% (-0.01)
Lecce 43.35% (-3.25)

Corners

Over 8 63.34% (+5.97)
Equal 8 11.71% (-0.22)
Under 8 24.95% (-5.75)
Over 9 50.76% (+5.52)
Equal 9 12.59% (+0.45)
Under 9 36.66% (-5.97)
Over 10.5 38.53% (+4.57)
Under 10.5 61.47% (-4.57)

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 35.8% (-1.77)
Under 1.5 64.2% (+1.77)
Over 2.5 13.97% (-1.36)
Under 2.5 86.03% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 4.63% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 95.37% (+0.61)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 66.32% (+1.22)
Under 0.5 33.68% (-1.22)
Over 1.5 32.99% (+1.73)
Under 1.5 67.01% (-1.72)
Over 2.5 12.33% (+1.10)
Under 2.5 87.67% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 4% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 96% (-0.55)

Score analysis

Cagliari 38.68%
Draw 27.05%
Lecce 34.21%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.34)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.57% (-0.67)
Total : 38.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.05)
Total : 27.05%
Lecce
0-1 @ 9.53% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.39)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.94% (+0.49)
Total : 34.21%

Head to Head

Serie A
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Gabriele Zappa 57' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 57' yellowcard
  • Semih Kilicsoy 57' yellowcard
  • Luca Mazzitelli 57' yellowcard
  • Semih Kılıçsoy 57' yellowcard
  • Yael Trepy 79' yellowcard
  • goal Omri Gandelman 64'
  • goal Ylber Ramadani 76'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 80'
  • yellowcard Nikola Stulic 80'
  • yellowcard Jamil Siebert 86'
  • yellowcard Omri Gandelman 86'
  • yellowcard Oumar Ngom 86'
  • yellowcard Sadik Fofana 90'+2'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ndary Adopo 52' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 60' goal
  • Sebastiano Luperto 65' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 80' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 83' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 42'
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 45'
  • redcard Ante Rebic 73'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 26' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 45'+1' redcard
  • Wladimiro Falcone 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 24'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 48'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 70'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Yerry Mina 26' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 42' redcard
  • Claudio Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 44' redcard
  • Simone Scuffet 64' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 78' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 14'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 54'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 74'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Valentin Gendrey 31' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Dossena 35'
  • goal Gaetano Oristanio 68'