Club Friendlies 3
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Willem Geubbels 15' goal

Lecce vs Monopoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Lecce 2 - 2 Istra 1961

Monopoli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Monopoli had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%) , while for a Monopoli win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 45.81% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 30% ▲ (+0.11)
Monopoli 24.2% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.28% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 32.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 41.44% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 58.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 21.72% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 78.28% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Lecce 31.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 49.22% ▼ (-0.18)
Monopoli 19.06% ▲ (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Lecce 53.71% ▼ (-0.16)
No Goal 11.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Monopoli 35.19% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 52.39% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 8 12.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 35.18% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 9 40.24% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 9 12.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 47.61% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 10.5 29.39% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 10.5 70.61% ▼ (-0.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.3%
Under 3.5 94.7%

Monopoli Goals

Over 0.5 58.44% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 41.56% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 1.5 23.55% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 76.45% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 6.38% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 93.62% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 1.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.27% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Lecce 45.81%
Draw 30%
Monopoli 24.21%
Lecce
1-0 @ 12.91% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 45.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 30%
Monopoli
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 24.21%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 31, 2025 4.00pm