Serie A Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Lameck Banda 6' goal
  • Omri Gandelman 46' yellowcard
  • Konan N’Dri 65' yellowcard
  • Nikola Stulic 80' yellowcard
  • Gaby Jean 80' yellowcard
  • Gaspar 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 60'
  • yellowcard Latif Ouedraogo 60'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Grossi 69'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Grossi 77'
  • yellowcard F. Carbone 83'
  • yellowcard Gaël Lafont 83'

Lecce vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 7.45pm
Sassuolo 2 - 3 Lecce
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 11.00am
Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lorenzo Colombo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 31.44% (+0.47)
Draw 29.39% (+0.36)
Genoa 39.17% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.73% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.43% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 33.57% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 40.62% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 59.38% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 20.15% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 79.85% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 9.83% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 90.17% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Lecce 24.37% (-0.09)
Draw 47.32% (+0.15)
Genoa 28.31% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Lecce 42.75% (-0.76)
No Goal 11.06% (+0.23)
Genoa 46.19% (+0.54)

Corners

Over 8 55.14% (+0.40)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.48% (-0.38)
Over 9 43.8% (+0.36)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.86% (-0.40)
Over 10.5 33.4% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 66.6% (-0.32)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 28.14% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 71.86% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 9.3% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 90.7% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 2.48% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.52% (-0.05)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 68.71% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 31.29% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 33.93% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 66.07% (+0.84)
Over 2.5 12.27% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 87.73% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 3.62% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 96.38% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Lecce 31.44%
Draw 29.39%
Genoa 39.17%
Lecce
1-0 @ 10.33% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.54% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.31% (+0.03)
Total : 31.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 11.06% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.03)
Total : 29.39%
Genoa
0-1 @ 12.18% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.45% (-0.24)
Total : 39.17%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Fabio Miretti 16' goal
  • Aaron Caricol 29' yellowcard
  • Fabio Miretti 34' yellowcard
  • Fabio Miretti 45'+2' goal
  • Johan Vasquez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Medon Berisha 49'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 68'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstovic 68'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • yellowcard Lior Kasa 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Mateo Retegui 70' goal
  • Alberto Gilardino 71' yellowcard
  • Caleb Ekuban 76' goal
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 31'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstovic 57'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Pontus Almqvist 58' yellowcard
  • Remi Oudin 83' goal
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 7'
  • yellowcard Aaron Caricol 9'
  • redcard Aaron Caricol 36'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Luigi Ferraris
  • Antonio Sanabria 7' goal
  • Lukas Lerager 15' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 64' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 35'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Saponara 44'
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 52'
  • goal Marco Mancosu 60'