Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Benfica

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 31.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 2-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

AC Milan 31.26%
Draw 24.87%
Benfica 43.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.08%
Under 1.5 20.92%
Over 2.5 56.86%
Under 2.5 43.14%
Over 3.5 34.08%
Under 3.5 65.92%
Over 4.5 20.43%
Under 4.5 79.57%

First Half Winner

AC Milan 22.66%
Draw 38.3%
Benfica 39.04%

Team To Score First

AC Milan 40.71%
No Goal 5.82%
Benfica 53.47%

Corners

Over 8 53.51%
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 34.16%
Over 9 41.37%
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 46.49%
Over 10.5 30.43%
Under 10.5 69.57%

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 35.71%
Under 1.5 64.29%
Over 2.5 14.83%
Under 2.5 85.17%
Over 3.5 4.72%
Under 3.5 95.28%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 76.23%
Under 0.5 23.77%
Over 1.5 46.22%
Under 1.5 53.78%
Over 2.5 22.23%
Under 2.5 77.77%
Over 3.5 8.82%
Under 3.5 91.18%

Score analysis

AC Milan 31.27%
Draw 24.87%
Benfica 43.88%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.47%
1-0 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.54%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 31.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.87%
Benfica
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.05%
Other @ 8.31%
Total : 43.88%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateo Musacchio 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pizzi 38'
  • yellowcard Ljubomir Fejsa 65'
  • goal Adel Taarabt 70'