Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Aarhus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aarhus has a probability of 14.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Aarhus win it is 0-1 (4.37%).

Result

Benfica 64.52% (+0.04)
Draw 20.5% (-0.11)
Aarhus 14.95% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.21% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.69% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 21.31% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 57.2% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 42.8% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 35.5% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 64.5% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 23.21% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 76.79% (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Benfica 46.49%
Draw 35.69%
Aarhus 17.83%

Team To Score First

Benfica 66.41% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.62% (-0.13)
Aarhus 27.97% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.1%
Equal 8 9.95%
Under 8 31.95%
Over 9 47.88%
Equal 9 10.22%
Under 9 41.9%
Over 10.5 38.15%
Under 10.5 61.85%

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 60.61% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 39.39% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 34.08% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 65.92% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 15.67% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 84.33% (-0.19)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 49.41% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 50.59% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 20.04% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 79.96% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 6.2% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 93.8% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Benfica 64.52%
Draw 20.5%
Aarhus 14.94%
Benfica
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 6.39% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 15.41% (+0.18)
Total : 64.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 20.5%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.94% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Total : 14.94%