Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.30pm
Maritimo 1 - 0 Casa Pia

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 8.30pm
Benfica 2 - 2 Viseu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw has a probability of 24.14% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.36%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (6.73%).

Result

Casa Pia 15.75% (+0.03)
Draw 24.14% (+0.02)
Benfica 60.08% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.72% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.99% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 33.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.54% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.45% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 77.55% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.4% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 13.38% (-0.01)
Draw 39.69% (+0.02)
Benfica 46.93% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 24.15% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.36%
Benfica 65.49% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.55% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 29.79% (+0.04)
Over 9 48.57% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.97% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.45% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38.14% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 61.86% (+0.02)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 14.75% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 85.25% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 3.24%
Under 2.5 96.76%
Over 3.5 0.7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.3% (-0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 79.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.72% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 48.46% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.54% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.86% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.14% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.71% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 15.75%
Draw 24.14%
Benfica 60.07%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 3.59%
2-0 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.69% (+0.01)
Total : 15.75%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.36%
1-1 @ 10.33% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.14%
Benfica
0-1 @ 15.88% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 11.68% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.06% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 9.28% (-0.01)
Total : 60.07%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Korede Osundina 46' yellowcard
  • Clau Mendes 70' yellowcard
  • Rafael Brito 78' goal
  • Abdu Conté 87' yellowcard
  • João Marques 87' yellowcard
  • Abdu Conté 88' yellowcard
  • João Marques 88' yellowcard
  • Kelian Nsona 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Prestianni 58'
  • goal Richard Ríos 68'
  • yellowcard Georgiy Sudakov 70'
  • yellowcard Franjo Ivanović 81'
  • yellowcard Anísio 81'
  • yellowcard Anísio 82'
  • yellowcard Franjo Ivanović 82'
Primeira Liga
Nov 9, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 32' goal
  • Nuno Moreira 60' goal
  • Nuno Moreira 79' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 82' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 90'+4' goal
  • goal Angel di Maria 14'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 70' goal
  • Tiago Gouveia 80' goal
  • Fredrik Aursnes 90' goal
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 45'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 74'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 44' goal
  • Florentino Luis 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaizka Larrazabal 41'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 72'
  • goal Gaizka Larrazabal 81'