Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Rio Ave 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 33.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-0 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Casa Pia 33.37%
Draw 26.96%
Rio Ave 39.64% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 28.07% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.4% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.74%
Under 3.5 74.26%
Over 4.5 13.43% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.57% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 26.67%
Draw 47.16%
Rio Ave 26.17%

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 45.97%
No Goal 8.45% (-0.02)
Rio Ave 45.58% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.81%
Equal 8 12.27%
Under 8 31.93%
Over 9 43.47%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 44.19%
Over 10.5 32.17%
Under 10.5 67.83%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 32.72% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.28% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.9% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.1% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.55% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.45% (+0.02)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 71.07% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.93% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.79% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.21% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.07% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.93% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.34% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 33.38%
Draw 26.96%
Rio Ave 39.64%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17%
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 26.96%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.48% (-0.01)
Total : 39.64%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • André Luiz 54' goal
  • Brandon Aguilera 62' goal
  • Ole Pohlmann 74' yellowcard
  • André Luiz 86' goal
  • Georgios Liavas 88' yellowcard
  • Tamás Nikitscher 88' yellowcard
  • João Graça 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonis Papakanellos 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Prieto 62'
  • yellowcard Seba Pérez 62'
  • yellowcard Kelian Nsona 69'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes  69'
  • yellowcard Miguel Sousa 70'
  • goal Clau Mendes  83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 30' goal
  • Duplexe Tchamba 62' goal
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 68' yellowcard
  • Pablo Roberto 70' yellowcard
  • Ruben Kluivert 86' yellowcard
  • Andre Geraldes 89' yellowcard
  • Caue 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Morais 21'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Bakoulas 90'+1'
Taca de Portugal
Jan 12, 2025 4.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Henrique Martins Pereira 42' goal
  • Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 58' yellowcard
  • Max Svensson Rio 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kiko Bondoso 6'
  • yellowcard Brandon Aguilera 12'
  • goal Clayton 15'
  • yellowcard Martim Neto 62'
  • yellowcard Cezary Miszta 65'
  • goal Tiago Morais 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Clayton 16' goal
  • Omar Richards 37' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 40' goal
  • Aderlan 69' yellowcard
  • Marios Vrousai 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nuno Moreira 3'
  • goal Cassiano 28'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 43'
  • yellowcard Rafael Brito 85'
  • yellowcard Andrian Kraev 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Luis Freire 14' yellowcard
  • Joao Teixeira 38' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 88' goal
  • yellowcard Neto 13'
  • yellowcard Clayton 86'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lameiras 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Pablo Roberto 13' goal
  • Clayton 75' yellowcard
  • goal Joca 52'
  • yellowcard Joao Graca 77'
  • yellowcard Renato Pantalon 90'+4'