Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (10.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.