Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.