Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for AVS had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.