Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.