Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for AVS had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.