Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Guimaraes
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.30pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw has a probability of 25.42% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (6.38%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.59%
Draw 25.42%
Casa Pia 18.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.13% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 27.87% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 46.85%
Under 2.5 53.15%
Over 3.5 25.4%
Under 3.5 74.6%
Over 4.5 14.5%
Under 4.5 85.5%

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.88%
Draw 44.7%
Casa Pia 16.42%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 62.18%
No Goal 8.04%
Casa Pia 29.78%

Corners

Over 8 60.1%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 48.1%
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 39.9%
Over 10.5 36.71%
Under 10.5 63.29%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 49.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.79% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.79%
Under 3.5 91.21%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 53.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 46.67% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.51%
Under 1.5 79.49%
Over 2.5 6.33%
Under 2.5 93.67%
Over 3.5 1.47%
Under 3.5 98.53%

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.6%
Draw 25.42%
Casa Pia 19%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 8.49%
Total : 55.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 8.04%
2-2 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.42%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 2.53%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 19%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yassin Oukili 30' yellowcard
  • Dailon Rocha 41' yellowcard
  • David 63' yellowcard
  • David 64' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 9'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Nogueira 41'
  • yellowcard Maga 41'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 22' yellowcard
  • Mikel Villanueva 35' yellowcard
  • Vando Baifas Felix 36' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 50' goal
  • Joao Mendes 78' yellowcard
  • Umaro Embalo 79' goal
  • yellowcard Andrian Kraev 27'
  • yellowcard Max Svensson Rio 52'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 60'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 73'
  • yellowcard Patrick Sequeira 79'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 39' goal
  • Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 45' yellowcard
  • Nermin Zolotic 51' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rui Manuel Gomes Borges 55'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Andre Andre 51' yellowcard
  • goal Clayton 4'
  • goal Pablo Roberto 35'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 49'
  • yellowcard Neto 62'
  • yellowcard Clayton 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 57' yellowcard
  • Vasco Fernandes 80' yellowcard
  • Artur Serobyan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 36'
  • yellowcard Manu Silva 63'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique