Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Sporting Lisbon
May 4, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio José Alvalade
Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Tondela
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Luis Suárez

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.30pm
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw has a probability of 19.58% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.52%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it is 0-1 (4.15%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 67.01% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 19.58% ▲ (+0.26)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 13.42% ▼ (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.08% ▲ (+0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 46.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 32.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.36% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 78.64% ▼ (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 44.92% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 38.89% ▲ (+0.25)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 16.19% ▼ (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 62.42% ▲ (+0.58)
No Goal 6.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 31% ▼ (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 61.07% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 8 27.28% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 9 48.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.22% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 38.93% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 37.19% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 62.81% ▲ (+0.18)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 59.8% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 40.2% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 33.23% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 66.77% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 15.15% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 84.85% ▼ (-0.47)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 44.57% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 0.5 55.43% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 1.5 16.61% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 83.39% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 2.5 4.95% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 95.05% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 1.25% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 98.75% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 67.01%
Draw 19.58%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 13.41%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-0 @ 12.47% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.08% ▲ (+0.45)
Total : 67.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.58%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 13.41%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 6, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
Guimaraes
  • Luis Suárez 13' goal
  • Alisson Santos 24' yellowcard
  • Hidemasa Morita 67' yellowcard
  • Rômulo 67' yellowcard
  • Luís Guilherme 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Balieiro 59'
  • yellowcard Samu 59'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 70'
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 78'
  • yellowcard A. Ndoye 78'
  • goal A. Ndoye 90'+2'
  • goal A. Ndoye 90'+11'
Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Dec 23, 2025 8.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Telmo Arcanjo 50' goal
  • Joao Mendes 62' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 63' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco Gomez 84' yellowcard
  • Nelson Oliveira 87' redcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Abascal 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Trincao 32'
  • goal Fotis Ioannidis 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 58'
  • goal Juan Diego Castillo Reyes 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 76'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 77'
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 79'
  • yellowcard Salvador Blopa 87'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 90'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Sporting Lisbon
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Guimaraes
  • Zeno Debast 10' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 55' goal
  • Geny Catamo 57' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 82' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 8'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 17'
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
Jan 3, 2025 8.15pm
4
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
  • Tiago Silva 7' goal
  • Samu 9' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 56' yellowcard
  • Kaio Cesar 69' goal
  • Joao Mendes 82' goal
  • Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel 85' goal
  • Oscar Rivas 89' yellowcard
  • Telmo Arcanjo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 2'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 14'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 18'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 57'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 75'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 81'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 84'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 90'+3'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 21, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Guimaraes
  • Pedro Goncalves 30' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 45'+3' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 49' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
Dec 9, 2023 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
  • Ricardo Mangas 27' yellowcard
  • Tiago Silva 45'+7' goal
  • Andre Silva 73' goal
  • Dani Silva 80' goal
  • Ze Carlos 89' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 17'
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 42'
  • goal Nuno Santos 77'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 90'+4'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Tondela
AVS 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Porto 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Benfica
Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Rio Ave
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Guimaraes
AVS 1 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 5 - 0 Tondela
Benfica 3 - 0 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 1 - 2 Famalicao