Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.84% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.57%).