Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Tondela has a probability of 34.05% and a draw has a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Tondela win is 0-1 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.9%).