/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Ftonlog.png)
-
Dailon Livramento
57'
-
Lawrence Ofori
57'
-
Lawrence Ofori
58'
-
Tiago Morais
72'
-
86'
-
Kiki
86'
-
Kevin Prieto
86'
-
Bebeto
62'
-
Bebeto
63'
-
Bebeto
64'
-
Hélder Tavares
64'
-
Bebeto
66'
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Hélder Tavares
67'
-
Bebeto
68'
-
86'
-
Yaya Sithole
86'
-
Arjen van der Heide
87'
-
B. Kimpioka
90'+5'
Casa Pia vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result
Casa Pia
37.28%
▲
(+0.50)
Draw
29.1%
▼
(-0.10)
Tondela
33.62%
▼
(-0.41)
Both Teams to Score:
47.45%
▲
(+0.35)
Goals
Over 1.5
67.94%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
32.06%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 2.5
41.92%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
58.08%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
21.73%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
78.27%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
11.06%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 4.5
88.94%
▼
(-0.19)
First Half Winner
Casa Pia
29.47%
Draw
44.29%
Tondela
26.24%
Team To Score First
Casa Pia
43.38%
▲
(+0.07)
No Goal
10.3%
▼
(-0.12)
Tondela
46.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Corners
Over 8
41.79%
Equal 8
12.08%
Under 8
46.13%
Over 9
30.94%
Equal 9
10.85%
Under 9
58.21%
Over 10.5
21.97%
Under 10.5
78.03%
Casa Pia Goals
Over 1.5
33.04%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 1.5
66.96%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 2.5
11.77%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
88.23%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 3.5
3.52%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
96.48%
▼
(-0.15)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5
65%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
35%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
30.83%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
69.17%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
11.13%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
88.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
3.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
96.73%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
37.28%
Draw
29.09%
Tondela
33.62%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
11.69%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 37.28%
2-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 37.28%
Draw
1-1
@
13.22%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.09%
0-0 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.09%
Tondela
0-1
@
10.06%
▼
(-0.19)
1-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.62%
1-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.62%
