Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Guimaraes
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Luis Suárez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw has a probability of 22.74% and a win for Rio Ave has a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.37%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.23%) , while for a Rio Ave win it is 1-0 (4.67%).

Result

Rio Ave 13.29% (-0.03)
Draw 22.74% (-0.03)
Sporting Lisbon 63.98% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.96% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.59% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.41% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.51% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.93%
Under 3.5 72.07%
Over 4.5 17.36% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.64% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 15.75%
Draw 37.55%
Sporting Lisbon 46.7%

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 24.45%
No Goal 9.23%
Sporting Lisbon 66.32%

Corners

Over 8 63.32% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.58%
Under 8 26.1% (-0.02)
Over 9 52.06% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 36.68% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 41.05% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58.95% (-0.01)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 15.72% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 84.28% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 4.51% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.08% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.92% (+0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 82.93% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.07% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 54.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.04% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 28.56% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 71.44% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.97% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 13.3%
Draw 22.73%
Sporting Lisbon 63.98%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 4.67%
2-1 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.14%
3-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.99% (-0.02)
Total : 13.3%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.23%
1-1 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 22.73%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 14.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 12.37% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-3 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62%
Other @ 11.88%
Total : 63.98%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Suarez Charris 34' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 36' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 53' goal
  • Luis Suarez Charris 60' goal
  • Luis Suarez Charris 61' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Tome Esteves Baptista 38'
Taca de Portugal
Apr 22, 2025 8.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Andreas Ntoi 47' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 66' goal
  • Andre Luiz 72' yellowcard
  • Theofanis Bakoulas 73' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 11'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 33'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 50'
Taca de Portugal
Apr 3, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 12' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 45'+1' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreas Ntoi 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Brandon Aguilera 54' yellowcard
  • goal Aderlan 3' (OG)
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 23'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 88'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 26' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 51' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 63' goal
  • Geny Catamo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 35'
  • yellowcard Clayton 48'
  • goal Clayton 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Umaro Embalo 3' goal
  • Umaro Embalo 6' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 45'+4' goal
  • Joao Graca 60' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 67' goal
  • Renato Pantalon 80' yellowcard
  • Vitor Gomes 83' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 90'+1' redcard
  • Costinha 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 6'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 9'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 44'
  • yellowcard Geny Catamo 63'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 73'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 75'