Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.42% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.42%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.11%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.69%).