Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.05% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%) , while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.8%).