Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Moreirense
Apr 20, 2026 8.15pm
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 8.45pm
Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Rodrigo Alonso Martín

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.30pm
Estoril 1 - 3 Porto
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 32.31% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 1-0 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.33%).

Result

Moreirense 32.31% ▲ (+0.48)
Draw 24.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Estoril Praia 43.01% ▼ (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.39% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.79% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 23.21% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 54.03% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 45.97% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 31.25% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 68.75% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 17.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.21% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 23.61% ▼ (-1.86)
Draw 43.9% ▲ (+1.84)
Estoril Praia 32.5% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Moreirense 38.93% ▼ (-0.55)
No Goal 6.33% ▲ (+0.12)
Estoril Praia 54.74% ▲ (+0.45)

Corners

Over 8 48.25% ▼ (-3.30)
Equal 8 12.23% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 8 39.52% ▲ (+3.54)
Over 9 36.7% ▼ (-2.76)
Equal 9 11.55% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 9 51.75% ▲ (+3.32)
Over 10.5 26.68% ▼ (-2.04)
Under 10.5 73.32% ▲ (+2.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 34.42% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.36% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 86.64% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.88% ▲ (+0.08)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 74.52% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 0.5 25.48% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 1.5 43.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 56.53% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 19.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.8% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Moreirense 32.3%
Draw 24.68%
Estoril Praia 43%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 32.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.68%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 43%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Estoril
Dec 7, 2025 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Moreirense
  • Patrick de Paula 19' goal
  • Andre Lacximicant 29' yellowcard
  • 29' yellowcard
  • Andre Lacximicant 30' yellowcard
  • Ricard Sanchez 54' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 58' goal
  • Ricard Sanchez 67' yellowcard
  • Ricard Sanchez 69' yellowcard
  • goal Diogo Martins Travassos 2'
  • yellowcard Landerson Costa Araujo 16'
  • yellowcard 16'
  • goal Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida 62'
  • yellowcard Alan 66'
  • yellowcard Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida 76'
  • goal Luis Semedo 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Moreirense
May 11, 2025 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril
  • Bernardo Martins 21' goal
  • Bernardo Martins 33' yellowcard
  • Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos 43' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 55' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 82' yellowcard
  • Alan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 45'+1'
  • goal Felix Bacher 76'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 80'
  • yellowcard Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 84'
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Joao Carvalho 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Estoril
Dec 28, 2024 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Moreirense
  • Felix Bacher 16' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 22' goal
  • Wagner Pina 34' yellowcard
  • Helder Costa 45'+3' goal
  • goal Gabrielzinho 2'
  • goal Luis Nlavo 57'
  • yellowcard Cesar Peixoto 77'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Martins 85'
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Moreirense
May 18, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril
  • Vinicius Mingotti 5' goal
  • Goncalo Franco 66' goal
  • goal Joao Carlos 49'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Estoril
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Moreirense
  • Rodrigo Gomes 25' yellowcard
  • Mateus Fernandes 83' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90' goal
  • goal Pedro Aparicio 30'
  • goal Marcelo 33'
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 39'
  • yellowcard Alan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Antonisse 73'
  • goal Alan 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Estoril
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Moreirense
  • Jordi Mboula 44' yellowcard
  • Andre Franco 64' goal
  • Bernardo Vital 81' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 84' redcard
  • Lucho Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rui Fonte 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joaozinho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sori Mane 53'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 74'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 81'

Form Data

Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Porto 3 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 1 Nacional
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense
Estoril 1 - 3 Porto
Arouca 3 - 2 Estoril
Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril