Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.74% and a win for Braga had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.