Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 46' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 61' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 62' yellowcard
  • Dodi Lukébakio 76' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Pau Víctor 48'
  • yellowcard Mario Dorgeles 67'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 74'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Moscardo 82'
  • goal Gorby 88'

Benfica vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Famalicao 2 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Braga

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 1 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.74% and a win for Braga had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 61.76% (-0.56)
Draw 21.74% (+0.27)
Braga 16.49% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.67% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 20.33% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.81% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 43.19% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 34.75% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.25% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.85%
Under 4.5 78.15%

First Half Winner

Benfica 47.39% (-0.18)
Draw 36.83% (+0.11)
Braga 15.78% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Benfica 65.26% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.27% (+0.02)
Braga 29.47% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.44% (-0.67)
Equal 8 12.12% (-0.04)
Under 8 35.44% (+0.69)
Over 9 40.59% (-0.57)
Equal 9 11.85% (-0.09)
Under 9 47.56% (+0.67)
Over 10.5 29.97% (-0.45)
Under 10.5 70.03% (+0.44)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 58.86% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 41.14% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 31.79% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 68.21% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 14.13% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 85.87% (+0.11)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 53.17% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 46.83% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 21.6% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 78.4% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 6.53% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 93.47% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 1.69% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.31% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Benfica 61.77%
Draw 21.74%
Braga 16.5%
Benfica
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 10.32% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 10.28%
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 14.01% (-0.16)
Total : 61.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.04)
Total : 21.74%
Braga
1-2 @ 4.52% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.57% (+0.04)
Total : 16.5%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Jan 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Joao Moutinho 30' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 38' goal
  • Pau Victor Delgado 45'+1' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 65' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Moscardo 88' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Araujo 15'
  • yellowcard Tomas Araujo 16'
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 29'
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 53'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 24' goal
  • Francisco Rodrigues 52' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 55' yellowcard
  • Uros Racic 57' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 66' redcard
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 33'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 45'+3'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 63'
Taca de Portugal
Feb 26, 2025 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 39' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 68'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 78'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+1'
Taca da Liga
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Angel di Maria 27' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 28' goal
  • Angel di Maria 37' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 62'
  • redcard Jonatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro 78'
  • yellowcard Roger Fernandes 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Angel di Maria 52' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 77' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 79' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 88' yellowcard
  • Jan-Niklas Beste 89' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Navarro 17'
  • yellowcard Jean-Baptiste Gorby 36'
  • goal Robson Bambu 40'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 90'+3'