Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.