Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.