Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.87% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.