Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.30pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 1 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 30.17% and a draw has a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Alverca 44.11%
Draw 25.72%
Estoril Praia 30.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.64% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.58%
Under 1.5 24.42%
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.9% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.31%
Under 3.5 70.69%
Over 4.5 16.23%
Under 4.5 83.77%

First Half Winner

Alverca 30.61%
Draw 42.44%
Estoril Praia 26.95%

Team To Score First

Alverca 50.97%
No Goal 6.97%
Estoril Praia 42.06%

Corners

Over 8 42.44%
Equal 8 12.53%
Under 8 45.03%
Over 9 31.14%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 57.56%
Over 10.5 21.78%
Under 10.5 78.22%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 43.21%
Under 1.5 56.79%
Over 2.5 18.74%
Under 2.5 81.26%
Over 3.5 6.53%
Under 3.5 93.47%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 65.19%
Under 0.5 34.81%
Over 1.5 32.4%
Under 1.5 67.6%
Over 2.5 12.44%
Under 2.5 87.56%
Over 3.5 3.86%
Under 3.5 96.14%

Score analysis

Alverca 44.12%
Draw 25.71%
Estoril Praia 30.18%
Alverca
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 6.3%
Total : 44.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.71%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-1 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 27, 2025 8.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bastien Meupiyou 36' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 43' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 47' goal
  • Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 52' yellowcard
  • Bastien Meupiyou 60' goal
  • Antef Tsoungui 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lincoln 49'
  • yellowcard Nabili Touaizi 55'
  • goal Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 85'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 86'