Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Figueiredo 12' goal
  • Ikker Julian 66' yellowcard
  • Ikker Julian de La Caridad Caldeira dos Santos 66' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 74' yellowcard
  • Felipe de Almeida Lima 74' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 75' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 88' yellowcard
  • Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 88' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 89' yellowcard
  • Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 46'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Costa 46'
  • goal André Lacximicant 47'
  • yellowcard Kévin Boma 72'
  • yellowcard Pedro Carvalho 80'
  • yellowcard Peixinho 80'

Alverca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 1 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 44.08% (-0.04)
Draw 25.72%
Estoril Praia 30.2% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.67% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.57% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.43% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.9%
Over 3.5 29.31%
Under 3.5 70.69%
Over 4.5 16.22% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.78% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Alverca 30.61%
Draw 42.44%
Estoril Praia 26.95%

Team To Score First

Alverca 50.97%
No Goal 6.96% (-0.01)
Estoril Praia 42.07% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 42.44%
Equal 8 12.53%
Under 8 45.03%
Over 9 31.14%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 57.56%
Over 10.5 21.78%
Under 10.5 78.22%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 43.16% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 56.84% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 18.72% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.52% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.48% (+0.02)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 65.22% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.78% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.4%
Under 1.5 67.6%
Over 2.5 12.42% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Alverca 44.09%
Draw 25.71%
Estoril Praia 30.19%
Alverca
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.3%
Total : 44.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 25.71%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 30.19%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 27, 2025 8.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bastien Meupiyou 36' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 43' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 47' goal
  • Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 52' yellowcard
  • Bastien Meupiyou 60' goal
  • Antef Tsoungui 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lincoln 49'
  • yellowcard Nabili Touaizi 55'
  • goal Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 85'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 86'