Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 3.30pm
Campo da Imaculada Conceição

Maritimo vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 8.15pm
Maritimo 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Rio Ave

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Maritimo win with a probability of 43.96%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 27.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (8.39%).

Result

Maritimo 43.96% (+0.06)
Draw 28.2% (-0.04)
Casa Pia 27.84% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.43% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 29.57% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.77% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.01% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 74.99% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.67% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.33% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Maritimo 31.65% (-0.07)
Draw 49.68% (+0.04)
Casa Pia 18.67% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Maritimo 56.56% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.44% (-0.03)
Casa Pia 34% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 41.77% (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.93% (-0.01)
Under 8 46.3% (-0.11)
Over 9 31.05% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.72% (+0.01)
Under 9 58.23% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 22.17% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 77.83% (-0.11)

Maritimo Goals

Over 1.5 40.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.69% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.31% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.77%
Under 3.5 94.23%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 61.79% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.21% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 28.14% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.86% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.89% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.92%
Under 3.5 97.08%

Score analysis

Maritimo 43.96%
Draw 28.2%
Casa Pia 27.84%
Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.74% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.51% (+0.01)
Total : 43.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 28.2%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.26%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.66% (+0.02)
Total : 27.84%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Felippe Cardoso 41' goal
  • Felippe Cardoso 50' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2022 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • Xadas 11' goal
  • goal Clayton 18'
  • goal Leonardo Lelo 71'