/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Raphael Guzzo
61'
-
Raphael Guzzo
90'+1'
-
Tomás Franco Tavares
90'+6'
-
David Sousa
45'+3'
-
Alassana Jatta
86'
Maritimo vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Fcassiano-casa-pia-imago-ball-raw-images-69040854996c7618307865.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 43.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.24% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
Maritimo
43.83%
▼
(-2.58)
Draw
28.24%
▲
(+1.41)
Casa Pia
27.96%
▲
(+1.18)
Both Teams to Score:
48.94%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.36%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 1.5
29.64%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 2.5
45.63%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 2.5
54.37%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 3.5
24.83%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 3.5
75.17%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 4.5
13.54%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
86.46%
▲
(+0.40)
First Half Winner
Maritimo
31.64%
▲
(+0.43)
Draw
49.68%
▼
(-1.22)
Casa Pia
18.67%
▲
(+0.80)
Team To Score First
Maritimo
56.5%
▼
(-1.86)
No Goal
9.51%
▲
(+0.65)
Casa Pia
33.99%
▲
(+1.22)
Corners
Over 8
42.04%
▼
(-2.18)
Equal 8
11.96%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 8
46%
▲
(+2.08)
Over 9
31.28%
▼
(-2.05)
Equal 9
10.77%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 9
57.96%
▲
(+2.18)
Over 10.5
22.34%
▼
(-1.81)
Under 10.5
77.66%
▲
(+1.80)
Maritimo Goals
Over 1.5
40.17%
▼
(-1.76)
Under 1.5
59.83%
▲
(+1.76)
Over 2.5
16.56%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 2.5
83.44%
▲
(+1.24)
Over 3.5
5.69%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 3.5
94.31%
▲
(+0.50)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
61.86%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 0.5
38.14%
▼
(-1.26)
Over 1.5
28.12%
▲
(+0.79)
Under 1.5
71.88%
▼
(-0.79)
Over 2.5
9.85%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
90.15%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
2.89%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
97.11%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Maritimo
43.83%
Draw
28.24%
Casa Pia
27.97%
Maritimo
1-0
@
11.71%
▼
(-0.51)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 43.83%
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 43.83%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
▲
(+0.49)
0-0 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.65)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 28.24%
0-0 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.65)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 28.24%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
8.46%
▲
(+0.59)
1-2 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.97%
1-2 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.97%