Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 9.00pm
Estádio do Marítimo

Maritimo vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.00pm
Maritimo 0 - 0 Estrela Calheta

Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Maritimo win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 27.26% and a draw has a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).

Result

Maritimo 45.52% (+0.04)
Draw 27.22% (+0.01)
Nacional 27.26% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.73% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.98% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.02% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.37% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.63% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Maritimo 31.67% (+0.03)
Draw 47.07% (+0.01)
Nacional 21.26% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Maritimo 53.5% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.7% (-0.02)
Nacional 36.8% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.57% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.88% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.54% (-0.06)
Over 9 36.39% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.18% (-0.01)
Under 9 52.43% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 26.69% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 73.31% (-0.07)

Maritimo Goals

Over 1.5 41.49% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.51% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.3% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.7% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.01% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.99% (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 61.01% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.99% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.05% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.09%
Under 3.5 96.91%

Score analysis

Maritimo 45.53%
Draw 27.23%
Nacional 27.26%
Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.78% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 5.9% (+0.03)
Total : 45.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 27.23%
Nacional
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.98% (-0.02)
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio dos Barreiros
  • redcard 36'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT TBC
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kenji Gorre 44' goal
  • Eber Bessa 70' yellowcard
  • Lucas Kal 74' yellowcard
  • Kenji Gorre 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 58'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 69'
  • yellowcard Edgar Costa 90'
  • yellowcard Amir Abedzadeh 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sassa 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zainadine Junior 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 12'
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 21'
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 29'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Edgar Costa 5' goal
  • Diederrick Joel 16' goal
  • Josip Vukovic 22' yellowcard
  • Getterson 35' goal
  • Pedro Pelagio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Camacho 11'
  • yellowcard Jota 60'
  • yellowcard Bryan Rochez 66'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 84'
  • goal Bryan Rochez 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 10, 2018 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Joao Camacho 65' goal
  • Julio 76' yellowcard
  • Sergio Marakis 81' yellowcard
  • Witi 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zainadine Junior 52'
  • yellowcard Josip Vukovic 61'