Primeira Liga
Nacional
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
Guimaraes
  • Jesús Ramírez 69' goal
  • Pablo Ruan 71' yellowcard
  • Jesús Ramírez 86' yellowcard
  • Jesús Ramírez 87' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Francisco Gonçalves 90'+1' yellowcard
  • João Aurélio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • João Aurélio 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Jose Saviolo 62'
  • yellowcard Samu 78'
  • yellowcard Samu 79'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Zeega 80'
  • yellowcard Miguel Nogueira 80'
  • yellowcard Hugo Nunes 80'
  • yellowcard Zeega 81'

Nacional vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Santa Clara 2 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Jesús Ramírez

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 38.73%
Draw 23.85%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 37.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 61.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 38.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 39.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 60.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 24.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 75.83% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Nacional 26.62%
Draw 45.03%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 28.36%

Team To Score First

Nacional 46.21% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 48.93%

Corners

Over 8 59.04%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 29.59%
Over 9 47.34%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 40.96%
Over 10.5 36.3%
Under 10.5 63.7%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 44.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 79.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 72.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 38.74%
Draw 23.86%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 37.42%
Nacional
2-1 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.86%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-2 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.42%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
Jan 2, 2026 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Nacional
  • Diogo Sousa 46' yellowcard
  • A. Ndoye 59' yellowcard
  • Oumar Camara 60' yellowcard
  • Tony Strata 67' yellowcard
  • Noah Jose Saviolo 70' goal
  • Rodrigo Abascal 87' goal
  • Fabio Blanco 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiheb Labidi 60'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 60'
  • yellowcard Francisco Gonçalves 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas João 76'
  • yellowcard L. Vallier 76'
  • goal Chiheb Labidi 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Nacional
May 3, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
Guimaraes
  • Djibril Soumare 45' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 59' yellowcard
  • Fuki Yamada 73' goal
  • goal Tiago Silva 13'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 34'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 45'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 61'
  • goal Jesus Andres Ramirez 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Guimaraes
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Nacional
  • Tiago Silva 24' goal
  • Nuno Santos 49' goal
  • Tomas Handel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Aguiar Tomich 9'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 18'
  • goal Joao Aurelio 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Nacional
Apr 26, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Guimaraes
  • Pedro Mendes 7' goal
  • Jorge Fernandes 15' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 44' yellowcard
  • Larry Azouni 51' yellowcard
  • Silvio 59' yellowcard
  • Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 81' yellowcard
  • Eber Bessa 84' yellowcard
  • Rochinha 84' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Guimaraes
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Nacional
  • Ricardo Quaresma 22' goal
  • Gideon Mensah 33' yellowcard
  • Jorge Fernandes 41' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 51' goal
  • Lucas Kal 61' goal
  • Andre Andre 67' yellowcard
  • goal Kenji Gorre 16'
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 19'
  • yellowcard Kenji Gorre 58'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Guimaraes
May 5, 2019 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
Nacional
  • Alhassan Wakaso 4' yellowcard
  • Toze 11' goal
  • Alhassan Wakaso 24' redcard
  • Davidson 45' yellowcard
  • Florent Hanin 78' goal
  • Florent Hanin 87' yellowcard
  • Dodo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgi Arabidze 12'
  • yellowcard Nuno Campos 60'
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Alhassan 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 65'
  • yellowcard Vitor Goncalves 69'
  • goal Diogo Coelho 82'
  • goal Abdullahi Alhassan 92'

Form Data

Santa Clara 2 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 2 AVS
Tondela 0 - 2 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 0 Alverca
Benfica 2 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Casa Pia
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Rio Ave
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Guimaraes
AVS 1 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 5 - 0 Tondela

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