Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.30pm
Tondela 0 - 2 Nacional
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.30pm
AVS 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Tomane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw has a probability of 24.13% and a win for AVS has a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a AVS win it is 0-1 (6.26%).

Result

Nacional 54.5%
Draw 24.13%
AVS 21.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.37% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.63% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 51.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.24% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.76% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.98% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.02% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nacional 39.82%
Draw 42.66%
AVS 17.52%

Team To Score First

Nacional 59.27%
No Goal 6.79%
AVS 33.94%

Corners

Over 8 64.36%
Equal 8 10.84%
Under 8 24.79%
Over 9 52.7%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 35.64%
Over 10.5 41.23%
Under 10.5 58.77%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 50.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.41% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.59% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.24% (-0.02)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 57.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.86% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.41% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.59% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nacional 54.51%
Draw 24.12%
AVS 21.37%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.25%
2-0 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.63% (+0.02)
Total : 54.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
AVS
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Total : 21.37%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 21, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Tomane 35' goal
  • Tunde Akinsola 43' goal
  • Tomane 57' yellowcard
  • Ruben Semedo 69' yellowcard
  • Ruben Semedo 70' yellowcard
  • Ruben Semedo 73' redcard
  • goal Ze Vitor 50'
  • goal Jesus Andres Ramirez 61'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Bruno Costa 20' goal
  • Dudu 34' goal
  • Djibril Soumare 45'+6' goal
  • Djibril Soumare 70' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baptiste Roux 19'
  • goal Rodrigo Ribeiro 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piazon 76'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Assuncao 79'
  • yellowcard Yair Mena Palacios 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • John Mercado 56' goal
  • John Mercado 56' goal
  • Nene 83' yellowcard
  • Nene 83' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Baeza 35'
  • goal Miguel Baeza 35'
  • yellowcard Ulisses 46'
  • yellowcard Ulisses 46'