Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 2 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gabriel Silva

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 1 - 2 AVS
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Santa Clara 43.44%
Draw 26.33%
Nacional 30.23% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.26% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 27.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 48.72% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.28% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.3% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.13% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.87% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Santa Clara 28.51% (-0.02)
Draw 48.3% (+0.01)
Nacional 23.19% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Santa Clara 49.62% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.92%
Nacional 42.46% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.86%
Equal 8 12.7%
Under 8 32.44%
Over 9 42.16%
Equal 9 12.69% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.14%
Over 10.5 30.66% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.34% (-0.02)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 1.5 41.11% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.89% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.7% (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 64.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.4% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.68% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.32% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.14%
Under 3.5 96.86%

Score analysis

Santa Clara 43.44%
Draw 26.33%
Nacional 30.23%
Santa Clara
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 6.22% (-0.02)
Total : 43.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.33%
Nacional
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.23%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2026 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 21' goal
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 38' yellowcard
  • Deivison Souza Brito 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Junior 46' yellowcard
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 50' goal
  • Witi 76' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Abidi 76' yellowcard
  • Andre Sousa 90' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Lopes 4'
  • goal Paulo Victor 15'
  • yellowcard Adriano 65'
  • yellowcard Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos 65'
  • yellowcard Pedro Ferreira 76'
  • yellowcard Elias Manoel 76'
  • yellowcard Welinton Macedo dos Santos 83'
  • goal Elias Manoel 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Sao Miguel
  • Joao Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa 3' goal
  • Pedro Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Frederico Venancio 60' yellowcard
  • MT 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 16'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 16'
  • yellowcard Diederrick Joel 64'
  • redcard Djibril Soumare 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 9' goal
  • Ruben Macedo 13' goal
  • Ulisses 24' yellowcard
  • Nigel Thomas 49' yellowcard
  • Matheus Dias 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Franca 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Ramos 43'
  • yellowcard Rocha 43'
  • yellowcard Safira 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Klismahn 54'
  • yellowcard Adriano 64'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Silva 74'
  • yellowcard Sidney Lima 87'
Taca de Portugal
Jan 11, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio de Sao Miguel
  • Sidney Lima 25' yellowcard
  • Serginho 30' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Velazquez 77' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Klismahn 111' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Marakis 98'
  • yellowcard Luis Esteves 106'
  • goal Dudu 120'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mikel Villanueva 4' goal
  • Lincoln 14' yellowcard
  • Rui Costa 35' goal
  • Rui Costa 47' goal
  • Rafael Ramos 69' yellowcard
  • Carlos 79' goal
  • Ukra 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 8'
  • goal Rui Correia 66'
  • yellowcard Kalindi 77'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Dec 6, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Pedrao 33' yellowcard
  • Kenji Gorre 38' goal
  • Kenji Gorre 63' yellowcard
  • Ruben Micael 72' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos 23'
  • goal Osama Rashid 34'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ramos 48'
  • yellowcard Costinha 69'
  • goal Thiago 86'