Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 10.30am
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Leixoes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Leixoes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 1.00am
Maritimo 0 - 0 Leixoes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Leixoes has a probability of 31.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Leixoes win is 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.98%).

Result

Nacional 42.09% ▲ (+8.70)
Draw 26.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Leixoes 31.59% ▼ (-8.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.57% ▲ (+2.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.58% ▲ (+2.44)
Under 1.5 24.42% ▼ (-2.44)
Over 2.5 52.62% ▲ (+4.62)
Under 2.5 47.38% ▼ (-4.62)
Over 3.5 29.44% ▲ (+3.15)
Under 3.5 70.56% ▼ (-3.15)
Over 4.5 16.62% ▲ (+2.65)
Under 4.5 83.38% ▼ (-2.65)

First Half Winner

Nacional 30.32% ▲ (+30.32)
Draw 44.97% ▲ (+44.97)
Leixoes 24.7% ▲ (+24.70)

Team To Score First

Nacional 49.49% ▲ (+49.49)
No Goal 7.52% ▲ (+7.52)
Leixoes 42.99% ▲ (+42.99)

Corners

Over 8 51.81% ▲ (+51.81)
Equal 8 11.91% ▲ (+11.91)
Under 8 36.28% ▲ (+36.28)
Over 9 40.23% ▲ (+40.23)
Equal 9 11.58% ▲ (+11.58)
Under 9 48.19% ▲ (+48.19)
Over 10.5 29.88% ▲ (+29.88)
Under 10.5 70.12% ▲ (+70.12)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 41.99% ▲ (+9.02)
Under 1.5 58.01% ▼ (-9.01)
Over 2.5 18.43% ▲ (+6.37)
Under 2.5 81.57% ▼ (-6.38)
Over 3.5 6.03% ▲ (+2.50)
Under 3.5 93.97% ▼ (-2.49)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5 67.19% ▼ (-4.86)
Under 0.5 32.81% ▲ (+4.86)
Over 1.5 33.87% ▼ (-4.68)
Under 1.5 66.13% ▲ (+4.67)
Over 2.5 12.71% ▼ (-2.81)
Under 2.5 87.29% ▲ (+2.82)
Over 3.5 4.05% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 3.5 95.95% ▲ (+0.97)

Score analysis

Nacional 42.09%
Draw 26.31%
Leixoes 31.59%
Nacional
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+1.62)
1-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.90)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+1.18)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+1.42)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+1.08)
Other @ 5.95% ▲ (+2.52)
Total : 42.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% ▼ (-0.52)
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.31%
Leixoes
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.68)
0-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-2.47)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-2.57)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.98)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.89)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.94)
Total : 31.59%