Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 10.30am
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Leixoes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Leixoes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 1.00am
Maritimo 0 - 0 Leixoes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leixoes win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 33.4% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Nacional 33.4% (+0.20)
Draw 26.3% (-0.10)
Leixoes 40.3% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.14% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.86% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 48% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.3% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.7% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.98% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.02% (-0.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 32.98% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 67.02% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 12.06% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 87.94% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.54% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.46% (-0.04)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5 72.04% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 27.96% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 38.54% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 61.46% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.52% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.48% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.01% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.99% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Nacional 33.41%
Draw 26.29%
Leixoes 40.29%
Nacional
1-0 @ 9.16% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.61% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.44% (+0.05)
Total : 33.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.25%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 26.29%
Leixoes
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.91% (-0.01)
Total : 40.29%