Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2026 1.00am
Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 1.00am
Tondela 0 - 0 Varzim

Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.04% and a draw has a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result

Tondela 41.29% (+0.29)
Draw 28.63% (+0.06)
Nacional 30.04% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.92% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.97% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 31.03% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 43.94% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 56.06% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 22.75% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 77.25% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 11.81% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 88.19% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Tondela 29.28% (-0.01)
Draw 46.44% (+0.09)
Nacional 24.28% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Tondela 48.79% (+0.29)
No Goal 9.87% (+0.09)
Nacional 41.34% (-0.37)

Corners

Over 8 61.9% (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.33% (-0.04)
Under 8 26.77% (-0.18)
Over 9 49.95% (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.95% (-0.03)
Under 9 38.1% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 38.45% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 61.55% (-0.25)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 36.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.01% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.12% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.88% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.31%
Under 3.5 95.69%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 63.43% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 36.57% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 28.99% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 71.01% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 9.68% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 90.32% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 2.78% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.22% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Tondela 41.28%
Draw 28.62%
Nacional 30.04%
Tondela
1-0 @ 11.91% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3.24% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.01)
Total : 41.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 28.62%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.73% (-0.11)
Total : 30.04%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Apr 25, 2026 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Tiago Manso 38' yellowcard
  • Makan Aïko 60' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sithole 61' yellowcard
  • Makan Aïko 61' yellowcard
  • B. Kimpioka 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 14'
  • goal Jesús Ramírez 22'
  • goal Brayan Medina 31' (OG)
  • yellowcard André Sousa 78'
  • yellowcard João Aurélio 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 90'+1'
  • yellowcard João Aurélio 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 90'+2'
Primeira Liga
Dec 15, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Nov 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • Dudu 75' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jhon Murillo 17' goal
  • Ricardo Alves 60' goal
  • Pedro Augusto 74' yellowcard
  • Tomislav Strkalj 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Camacho 13'
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 38'
  • yellowcard Ruben Micael 73'
  • redcard Nuno Borges 85'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Antonio Filipe 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ruben Micael 1' goal
  • Nuno Borges 27' yellowcard
  • Brayan Riascos 68' goal
  • yellowcard Bebeto 18'
  • redcard Bebeto 27'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 30'
  • yellowcard Enzo Martinez 81'
  • yellowcard Naoufel Khacef 83'
  • redcard Naoufel Khacef 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2019 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Daniel Guimaraes 21' yellowcard
  • Brayan Riascos 36' goal
  • Fernando Tissone 62' goal
  • Vitor Goncalves 83' goal
  • Kalindi 89' yellowcard
  • goal Tomane 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Monteiro 35'
  • yellowcard Joao Jaquite 61'
  • goal Fahd Moufi 66'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 79'
  • yellowcard Pite 90'