Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 3 Arouca
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Maranhão

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Tondela has a probability of 31.2% and a draw has a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Tondela win is 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).

Result

Arouca 43.54%
Draw 25.22%
Tondela 31.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.47%
Under 2.5 45.53%
Over 3.5 32.03%
Under 3.5 67.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Arouca 32.08%
Draw 46.06%
Tondela 21.86%

Team To Score First

Arouca 50.98%
No Goal 5.85%
Tondela 43.17%

Corners

Over 8 54.6%
Equal 8 12.33%
Under 8 33.06%
Over 9 42.33%
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 45.4%
Over 10.5 31.18%
Under 10.5 68.82%

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 44.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.37% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.32%
Under 3.5 92.68%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 67.48% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.52% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.24% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.76% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.17%
Under 2.5 86.83%
Over 3.5 3.71%
Under 3.5 96.29%

Score analysis

Arouca 43.54%
Draw 25.21%
Tondela 31.21%
Arouca
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.15%
Total : 43.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
Tondela
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.21%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Nor Maviram 12' goal
  • Jordan 34' goal
  • Yefrei Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Yefrei Rodríguez 60' goal
  • Hugo Félix 73' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Conceição 77' yellowcard
  • Juanse 84' yellowcard
  • João Afonso 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 8'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 65'
  • yellowcard Bas Kuipers 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 79'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandín 79'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Eduardo Quaresma 16' goal
  • Salvador Agra 45'+4' goal
  • Modibo Sagnan 63' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Silva 4'
  • yellowcard Tiago Araujo 44'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 51'
  • goal Andre Silva 69'
  • yellowcard David Simao 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2021 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joao Basso 31' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 35' yellowcard
  • Andre Bukia 68' goal
  • Pite 82' yellowcard
  • Thales Oleques 90' yellowcard
  • Adilio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pite 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Renat Dadasov 24'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 26'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 50'
  • yellowcard Naoufel Khacef 63'
Primeira Liga
May 13, 2017 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rafael Crivellaro 10' goal
  • Vitor Costa 32' yellowcard
  • Jubal 67' yellowcard
  • Rafael Crivellaro 75' yellowcard
  • Andre Santos 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nuno Pedro 11'
  • yellowcard Yordan Osorio 53'
  • yellowcard David Bruno 70'
  • goal Nuno Pedro 78'
Primeira Liga
Jan 8, 2017 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joao Jaquite 67' yellowcard
  • Pite 80' goal
  • Bruno Monteiro 82' yellowcard
  • Jhon Murillo 82' yellowcard
  • Pite 93' yellowcard
  • goal Walter Gonzalez 5'
  • goal Jorge Intima 63'
Primeira Liga
Mar 6, 2016 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wanderson Lima da Cunha 16' yellowcard
  • Bruno Nascimento 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Bastos 8'
  • yellowcard Jose Velasquez 25'
  • goal Mateus 78'
  • yellowcard Mateus 89'