Primeira Liga
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Taichi Fukui 20' goal
  • Diogo Monteiro 59' yellowcard
  • Hyun-ju Lee 63' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandín 63' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 77' goal
  • Mateo Flores 79' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 79' yellowcard
  • Hyun-ju Lee 85' goal
  • yellowcard Hélder Tavares 61'
  • goal Rony Lopes 65'
  • yellowcard Joe Hodge 73'
  • yellowcard B. Kimpioka 73'
  • yellowcard Arjen van der Heide 81'
  • yellowcard João Afonso 82'

Arouca vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 3 Arouca
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Maranhão

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 43.54%
Draw 25.22%
Tondela 31.24% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.79% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 22.21% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.1% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.9% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.8% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.2% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Arouca 32.08%
Draw 46.06%
Tondela 21.86%

Team To Score First

Arouca 50.99% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.84% (-0.01)
Tondela 43.17%

Corners

Over 8 54.6%
Equal 8 12.33%
Under 8 33.06%
Over 9 42.33%
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 45.4%
Over 10.5 31.18%
Under 10.5 68.82%

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 44.66% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.34% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.8%
Under 2.5 80.2%
Over 3.5 7.34% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.66% (-0.02)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 67.53% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.47% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.71% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.19% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.81% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.72% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arouca 43.55%
Draw 25.22%
Tondela 31.24%
Arouca
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 7.17% (+0.01)
Total : 43.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.96% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
Tondela
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.55% (+0.01)
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Nor Maviram 12' goal
  • Jordan 34' goal
  • Yefrei Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Yefrei Rodríguez 60' goal
  • Hugo Félix 73' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Conceição 77' yellowcard
  • Juanse 84' yellowcard
  • João Afonso 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 8'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 65'
  • yellowcard Bas Kuipers 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 79'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandín 79'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Eduardo Quaresma 16' goal
  • Salvador Agra 45'+4' goal
  • Modibo Sagnan 63' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Silva 4'
  • yellowcard Tiago Araujo 44'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 51'
  • goal Andre Silva 69'
  • yellowcard David Simao 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2021 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joao Basso 31' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 35' yellowcard
  • Andre Bukia 68' goal
  • Pite 82' yellowcard
  • Thales Oleques 90' yellowcard
  • Adilio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pite 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Renat Dadasov 24'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 26'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 50'
  • yellowcard Naoufel Khacef 63'
Primeira Liga
May 13, 2017 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rafael Crivellaro 10' goal
  • Vitor Costa 32' yellowcard
  • Jubal 67' yellowcard
  • Rafael Crivellaro 75' yellowcard
  • Andre Santos 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nuno Pedro 11'
  • yellowcard Yordan Osorio 53'
  • yellowcard David Bruno 70'
  • goal Nuno Pedro 78'
Primeira Liga
Jan 8, 2017 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joao Jaquite 67' yellowcard
  • Pite 80' goal
  • Bruno Monteiro 82' yellowcard
  • Jhon Murillo 82' yellowcard
  • Pite 93' yellowcard
  • goal Walter Gonzalez 5'
  • goal Jorge Intima 63'
Primeira Liga
Mar 6, 2016 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wanderson Lima da Cunha 16' yellowcard
  • Bruno Nascimento 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Bastos 8'
  • yellowcard Jose Velasquez 25'
  • goal Mateus 78'
  • yellowcard Mateus 89'