Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Tondela has a probability of 31.2% and a draw has a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Tondela win is 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).