Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Santiago García González

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 2 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw has a probability of 23.48% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Arouca win it is 1-2 (6.03%).

Result

Gil Vicente 53.56%
Draw 23.48%
Arouca 22.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 19.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.04%
Under 3.5 63.96%
Over 4.5 22.53% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.47% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Gil Vicente 38.12% (+0.01)
Draw 43.53%
Arouca 18.36%

Team To Score First

Gil Vicente 59.86% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.48% (+0.02)
Arouca 34.66%

Corners

Over 8 50.6% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.57%
Under 8 36.83% (-0.07)
Over 9 38.48% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.4% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 27.81% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 72.19% (-0.04)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 1.5 54.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 45.95% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 27.99% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 72.01% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 12.37%
Under 3.5 87.63%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 60.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.82% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.59% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.41% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.75%
Under 2.5 89.25%
Over 3.5 3.28%
Under 3.5 96.72%

Score analysis

Gil Vicente 53.55%
Draw 23.49%
Arouca 22.97%
Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 10.14%
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.99%
Total : 53.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52%
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.49%
Arouca
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 22.97%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Hyun-ju Lee 8' goal
  • Alfonso Trezza 12' goal
  • Vasco Seabra 40' yellowcard
  • Omar Fayed 57' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Espen van Ee 86' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 90' yellowcard
  • Boris Popovic 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Peixoto 41'
  • goal Murilo Costa 48'
  • yellowcard Facundo Caseres 80'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Santiago Garcia Gonzalez 58' goal
  • Joao Marques 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Pinto 38'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 47'
  • goal Miguel Puche 56'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 27, 2024 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Guven Yalcin 81' goal
  • goal Mory Gbane 64'
  • yellowcard Caue 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2024 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Maxime Dominguez 34' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 63' yellowcard
  • Tidjany Toure 90'+4' goal
  • Jonathan Buatu Mananga 90'+5' goal
  • Jonathan Buatu Mananga 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 35'
  • goal Cristo 47'
  • goal Cristo 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 16, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 38' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 45'+1' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 61' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 78' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 85' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Vitor Carvalho 37' goal
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 30'