Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Gil Vicente
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Facundo Agustín Cáseres 46' yellowcard
  • Joelson Fernandes 46' yellowcard
  • Luís André Leite Esteves 63' goal
  • Martín Fernández Benítez 64' yellowcard
  • Héctor Hernández 64' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente 83' yellowcard
  • goal Bas Kuipers 61'
  • goal Iván Barbero 67'
  • yellowcard Mateo Flores 76'
  • goal Taichi Fukui 82'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandín 82'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 90'+2'
  • yellowcard José Silva 90'+2'
  • yellowcard José Silva 90'+3'

Gil Vicente vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Santiago García González

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 2 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.57% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Arouca win it was 1-2 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Gil Vicente 53.26% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 23.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Arouca 23.18% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 36.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.43% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Gil Vicente 37.97% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 43.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Arouca 18.4% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Gil Vicente 59.87%
No Goal 5.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Arouca 34.61% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 50.38% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 37.01% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 38.24% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 12.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 49.62% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 27.57% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 10.5 72.43% ▲ (+0.25)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 1.5 53.85% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 46.15% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 27.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 72.14% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 12.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 87.71% ▲ (+0.08)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 60.35% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 39.65% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 28.82% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 71.18% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 10.88% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 89.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Gil Vicente 53.26%
Draw 23.58%
Arouca 23.17%
Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 53.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.58%
Arouca
1-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 23.17%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Arouca
Dec 28, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Gil Vicente
  • Hyun-ju Lee 8' goal
  • Alfonso Trezza 12' goal
  • Vasco Seabra 40' yellowcard
  • Omar Fayed 57' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 77' yellowcard
  • Espen van Ee 86' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 90' yellowcard
  • Boris Popovic 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Peixoto 41'
  • goal Murilo Costa 48'
  • yellowcard Facundo Caseres 80'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Gil Vicente
May 10, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Santiago Garcia Gonzalez 58' goal
  • Joao Marques 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Pinto 38'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 47'
  • goal Miguel Puche 56'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Arouca
Dec 27, 2024 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Gil Vicente
  • Guven Yalcin 81' goal
  • goal Mory Gbane 64'
  • yellowcard Caue 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Gil Vicente
Apr 26, 2024 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Maxime Dominguez 34' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 63' yellowcard
  • Tidjany Toure 90'+4' goal
  • Jonathan Buatu Mananga 90'+5' goal
  • Jonathan Buatu Mananga 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 35'
  • goal Cristo 47'
  • goal Cristo 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Arouca
Dec 16, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Gil Vicente
  • Rafa Mujica 38' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 45'+1' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 61' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 78' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 85' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Vitor Carvalho 37' goal
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 30'

Form Data

Rio Ave 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Casa Pia
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Guimaraes
Tondela 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente 3 - 0 AVS
Santa Clara 1 - 0 Gil Vicente
Arouca 2 - 2 Santa Clara
Alverca 2 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Braga 1 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 3 - 2 Estoril
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca