Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Tondela
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio João Cardoso
Moreirense

Tondela vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.30pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Maranhão

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Luis Semedo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 35.71% and a draw has a probability of 28.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (11.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result

Tondela 35.84%
Draw 28.48%
Moreirense 35.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.51%
Under 1.5 32.49%
Over 2.5 42.52%
Under 2.5 57.48%
Over 3.5 22.39%
Under 3.5 77.58%
Over 4.5 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.39% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Tondela 28.7%
Draw 47.21%
Moreirense 24.1%

Team To Score First

Tondela 47.97%
No Goal 10.35%
Moreirense 41.68%

Corners

Over 8 48.73%
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 38.73%
Over 9 36.82%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 51.27%
Over 10.5 26.48%
Under 10.5 73.52%

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 32.64%
Under 1.5 67.36%
Over 2.5 12.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 66.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.68%
Under 1.5 68.32%
Over 2.5 11.47%
Under 2.5 88.53%
Over 3.5 3.26%
Under 3.5 96.74%

Score analysis

Tondela 35.83%
Draw 28.49%
Moreirense 35.71%
Tondela
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 28.49%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 11.49%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.71%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Moreirense
Jan 11, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Tondela
  • Landerson Costa Araujo 46' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62' goal
  • Mateja Stjepanovic 68' yellowcard
  • Mateja Stjepanovic 69' yellowcard
  • Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 69' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 76' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Dambi Batista 76' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Makan Aiko 67'
  • yellowcard Makan Aiko 68'
  • yellowcard Sphephelo Sithole 77'
  • yellowcard Afonso Rodrigues 77'
  • yellowcard Afonso Rodrigues 78'
  • yellowcard Sphephelo Sithole 78'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Conceicao 82'
  • yellowcard Helder Tavares 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Conceicao 83'
  • yellowcard Helder Tavares 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Moreirense
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Tondela
  • Rafael Martins 40' goal
  • Kevin Mirallas 45'+2' goal
  • Rafael Martins 50' yellowcard
  • Mateus Pasinato 64' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 74' yellowcard
  • Godfried Frimpong 88' yellowcard
  • Yan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Camara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 59'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 66'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 76'
  • yellowcard Matias Lacava 84'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Alves 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Tondela
Jan 3, 2022 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Moreirense
  • Daniel dos Anjos 63' goal
  • Salvador Agra 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Manu Hernando 90'+13' goal
  • goal Rafael Martins 22'
  • yellowcard Abdu Conte 41'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Camara 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Moreirense
Apr 17, 2021 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
Tondela
  • Steven Vitoria 20' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 28' goal
  • Abdu Conte 41' yellowcard
  • Rafael Martins 43' goal
  • David Simao 78' yellowcard
  • Alex Soares 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 4'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 10'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 12'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Alves 59'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 61'
  • yellowcard Bebeto 62'
  • yellowcard Yohan Tavares 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Tondela
Dec 19, 2020 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Moreirense
  • Pedro Augusto 29' yellowcard
  • Bebeto 34' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 57' redcard
  • Jaume Grau 83' yellowcard
  • Enzo Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 32'
  • yellowcard Alex Soares 68'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Moreirense
Jul 26, 2020 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Tondela
  • Abdu Conte 44' yellowcard
  • Joao Aurelio 70' goal
  • Steven Vitoria 88' yellowcard
  • Pedro Nuno 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Toro 27'
  • goal Joao Pedro 45'
  • goal Pepelu 90'
  • yellowcard Jhon Murillo 90'+5'

Form Data

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Tondela
Tondela 0 - 2 Nacional
Porto 2 - 0 Tondela
Tondela 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
Guimaraes 5 - 0 Tondela
Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Benfica 4 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Estoril
Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca