May 11, 2026 8.15pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estádio João Cardoso

Makan Aïko 18'
Rony Lopes 60'
Joe Hodge 72'
Hélder Tavares 72'
B. Kimpioka 72'
72'
Jordan 83'
João Afonso 90'
João Afonso 90'+1'

Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 46'
Luís Semedo 46'
70'
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 72'
Landerson 72'
Leandro Santos 83'
84'

Tondela vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Tondela vs Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Tondela vs Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 09 May 2026 20:58

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions

W
D
L
L
D
L

Primeira Liga

W
D
L
L
D
L

Last game

May 3, 2026 3.30pm

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela

Goals scored

26

Top scorer

Maranhão

Moreirense

All competitions

W
L
W
D
L
L

Primeira Liga

W
L
W
D
L
L

Last game

May 2, 2026 3.30pm

Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora

Goals scored

37

Top scorer

Luis Semedo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 35.39% ▼ (-0.41)

Draw 28.64% ▲ (+0.17)

Moreirense 35.94% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score:

46.93% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.26% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 1.5 32.74% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 2.5 42.28% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 2.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 3.5 22.18% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 3.5 77.82% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 4.5 11.48% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 4.5 88.52% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Tondela 28.57% ▼ (-0.13)

Draw 47.16% ▼ (-0.06)

Moreirense 24.28% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Tondela 47.56% ▼ (-0.41)

No Goal 10.45% ▲ (+0.10)

Moreirense 41.99% ▲ (+0.32)

Corners

Over 8 49.08% ▲ (+0.36)

Equal 8 12.62% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 8 38.3% ▼ (-0.43)

Over 9 37.06% ▲ (+0.25)

Equal 9 12.02% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 9 50.92% ▼ (-0.36)

Over 10.5 26.6% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 10.5 73.4% ▼ (-0.12)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 32.23% ▼ (-0.38)

Under 1.5 67.77% ▲ (+0.37)

Over 2.5 12.32% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 2.5 87.68% ▲ (+0.25)

Over 3.5 3.98% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 96.02% ▲ (+0.15)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 66.57% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 0.5 33.43% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 1.5 31.83% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 1.5 68.17% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 2.5 11.57% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 2.5 88.43% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 3.5 3.3% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 3.5 96.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Tondela 35.39%

Draw 28.64%

Moreirense 35.94%

Tondela

1-0 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.10)

3-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.05)

3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.16)

Total : 35.39%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.47% ▲ (+0.04)

0-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.10)

2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 28.64%

Moreirense

0-1 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.08)

1-2 @ 7.52%

0-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.06)

1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.06)

2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 35.94%

Head to Head

Jan 11, 2026 6.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Landerson Costa Araujo 46'
Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62'
Mateja Stjepanovic 68'
Mateja Stjepanovic 69'
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 69'
Marcelo 76'
Gilberto Dambi Batista 76'
Marcelo 77'
77'

Makan Aiko 67'
Makan Aiko 68'
Sphephelo Sithole 77'
Afonso Rodrigues 77'
Afonso Rodrigues 78'
Sphephelo Sithole 78'
Rodrigo Conceicao 82'
Helder Tavares 82'
Rodrigo Conceicao 83'
Helder Tavares 83'

Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Rafael Martins 40'
Kevin Mirallas 45'+2'
Rafael Martins 50'
Mateus Pasinato 64'
Goncalo Franco 74'
Godfried Frimpong 88'
Yan 90'+1'
Ibrahima Camara 90'+3'

Joao Pedro 59'
Neto Borges 66'
Manu Hernando 76'
Matias Lacava 84'
Marcelo Alves 90'+2'

Jan 3, 2022 8.15pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Daniel dos Anjos 63'
Salvador Agra 80'
Pedro Augusto 90'+2'
Manu Hernando 90'+13'

Rafael Martins 22'
Abdu Conte 41'
Ibrahima Camara 90'+10'

Apr 17, 2021 3.30pm

2

3

HT : 2 3

FT

Steven Vitoria 20'
Steven Vitoria 28'
Abdu Conte 41'
Rafael Martins 43'
David Simao 78'
Alex Soares 90'+1'
Steven Vitoria 90'+4'

Mario Gonzalez 4'
Mario Gonzalez 10'
Mario Gonzalez 12'
Ricardo Alves 59'
Joao Pedro 61'
Bebeto 62'
Yohan Tavares 81'

Dec 19, 2020 6.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Pedro Augusto 29'
Bebeto 34'
Joao Pedro 57'
Jaume Grau 83'
Enzo Martinez 86'

Fabio Pacheco 32'
Alex Soares 68'
Goncalo Franco 89'

Jul 26, 2020 7.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Abdu Conte 44'
Joao Aurelio 70'
Steven Vitoria 88'
Pedro Nuno 90'+4'

Jonathan Toro 27'
Joao Pedro 45'
Pepelu 90'
Jhon Murillo 90'+5'

Form Data

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela

Sporting Lisbon 2 - 2 Tondela

Tondela 0 - 2 Nacional

Porto 2 - 0 Tondela

Tondela 2 - 2 Gil Vicente

Guimaraes 5 - 0 Tondela

Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora

Benfica 4 - 1 Moreirense

Moreirense 1 - 0 Estoril

Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense

Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga

Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca