Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Moreirense
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estrela Amadora

Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 4 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Travassos

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 29.41% and a draw has a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).

Result

Moreirense 43.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.21%
Estrela Amadora 29.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 45.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.69%
Under 3.5 76.31%
Over 4.5 12.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.44% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 30.08%
Draw 44.99%
Estrela Amadora 24.92%

Team To Score First

Moreirense 46.61%
No Goal 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Estrela Amadora 44.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.95%
Equal 8 12.2%
Under 8 33.84%
Over 9 41.88%
Equal 9 12.08%
Under 9 46.05%
Over 10.5 30.95%
Under 10.5 69.05%

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 38.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.43%
Under 3.5 94.57%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 61.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.72%
Under 3.5 97.28%

Score analysis

Moreirense 43.39%
Draw 27.2%
Estrela Amadora 29.41%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 43.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 27.2%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.41%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Estrela Amadora
Dec 20, 2025 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Moreirense
  • Sidny Lopes Cabral 35' yellowcard
  • Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 33'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Moreirense
Mar 2, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estrela Amadora
  • Cedric Teguia 62' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 67' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Martins Travassos 36'
  • yellowcard Kikas 41'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 45'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Estrela Amadora
Sep 28, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Moreirense
  • Leonel Bucca 2' goal
  • Kikas 20' goal
  • Leonel Bucca 46' yellowcard
  • Till Cissokho 57' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 57' yellowcard
  • redcard Cesar Peixoto 47'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 73'
  • goal Ruben Ramos 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Moreirense
Apr 7, 2024 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estrela Amadora
  • Andre Castro 26' goal
  • Bruno Brigido 43' goal
  • Vinicius Mingotti 70' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 79' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mansur 41'
  • yellowcard Sergio Vieira 42'
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 44'
  • goal Andre Luiz 54'
  • goal Kikas 83'
  • redcard Mansur 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Estrela Amadora
Nov 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Moreirense
  • Sergio Vieira 12' redcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 40' yellowcard
  • Joao Reis 56' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Madson 11'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 51'
  • yellowcard Alan 54'
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 76'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 81'
  • goal Andre Luis 90'
  • redcard Wallisson 90'+2'
Taca da Liga
Moreirense
Nov 27, 2022 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estrela Amadora
  • Goncalo Franco 32' goal
  • Fabio Pacheco 45' goal
  • Alan 69' goal
  • Kobamelo Kodisang 83' goal
  • goal Diogo Salomao 26'
  • goal Regis N'do 49'

Form Data

Benfica 4 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Estoril
Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Porto 3 - 0 Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Porto
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 4 - 0 Casa Pia
Rio Ave 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora