Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 1.00am
Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela vs Varzim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions

Varzim

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 46.72%. A draw has a probability of 28.16% and a win for Varzim has a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.36%) , while for a Varzim win it is 0-1 (8.57%).

Result

Tondela 46.72% (+0.02)
Draw 28.16%
Varzim 25.12% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.9% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.93% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.46% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.09% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.91% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.77%
Under 4.5 88.23%

First Half Winner

Tondela 33.58% (+0.02)
Draw 45.84%
Varzim 20.58% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Tondela 53.97% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.63% (-0.01)
Varzim 36.4% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.84% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 32.37% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.01% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 44.16% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.12%
Under 10.5 66.88%

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 40.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.69% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.31% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.5% (-0.02)

Varzim Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 40.46% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.07% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.93% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.8% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.2% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Tondela 46.72%
Draw 28.16%
Varzim 25.11%
Tondela
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 5.49% (+0.01)
Total : 46.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.16%
Varzim
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Total : 25.11%