Club Friendlies 3
Jul 22, 2026 11.00am
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Leganes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 11.00am
Tondela 0 - 0 Nacional

Leganes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 9.30am
Leganes 0 - 0 Albacete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leganes has a probability of 34.44% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Leganes win is 1-2 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result

Nacional 38.74% (-0.22)
Draw 26.82% (+0.04)
Leganes 34.44% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.11% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.48% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.52% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.12% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.88% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.53% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.83% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.17% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nacional 27.34% (-0.11)
Draw 48.76% (+0.12)
Leganes 23.9% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Nacional 50.07% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.46% (+0.02)
Leganes 42.47% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.29% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 26.64% (+0.09)
Over 9 50.61% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.71% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 39.32% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 60.68% (+0.07)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 40.81% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 59.19% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 17.19% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.81% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.67% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.33% (+0.02)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5 69.9% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.1% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 37.69% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.31% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.38% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 84.62% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 5.11% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.89% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Nacional 38.74%
Draw 26.82%
Leganes 34.45%
Nacional
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.42% (-0.04)
Total : 38.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.46% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 26.82%
Leganes
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.6% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.86% (+0.05)
Total : 34.45%