Club Friendlies 3
Jul 22, 2026 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Leganes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 11.00am
Tondela 0 - 0 Nacional

Leganes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 9.30am
Leganes 0 - 0 Albacete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-2 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 38.74% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 26.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Leganes 34.44% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.17% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nacional 27.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 48.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Leganes 23.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Nacional 50.07% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Leganes 42.47% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.29% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 26.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 50.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.71% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 39.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 60.68% ▲ (+0.07)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 40.81% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 59.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 17.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5 69.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.1% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 37.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.31% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 84.62% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Nacional 38.74%
Draw 26.82%
Leganes 34.45%
Nacional
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 38.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.82%
Leganes
1-2 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 34.45%