Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.