Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.