Segunda Division Gameweek 38
May 2, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa

Eibar vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.30pm
Albacete 0 - 3 Eibar
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jon Bautista

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.00pm
Malaga 2 - 3 Castellon
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
David Larrubia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Eibar win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.43% and a win for Malaga has a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win is 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.34%) , while for a Malaga win it is 0-1 (7.14%).

Result

Eibar 52.23% (-0.04)
Draw 26.43%
Malaga 21.34% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.92% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.08% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 44.55%
Under 2.5 55.45%
Over 3.5 22.74%
Under 3.5 77.26%
Over 4.5 12.29%
Under 4.5 87.71%

First Half Winner

Eibar 38.44%
Draw 42.35%
Malaga 19.21%

Team To Score First

Eibar 59.24%
No Goal 8.94%
Malaga 31.82%

Corners

Over 8 56.45%
Equal 8 12.58%
Under 8 30.97%
Over 9 43.69%
Equal 9 12.75%
Under 9 43.55%
Over 10.5 31.98%
Under 10.5 68.02%

Eibar Goals

Over 1.5 44.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.57%
Under 3.5 93.43%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 55.77% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 44.23% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.63% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 78.37% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 6.21% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.53%
Under 3.5 98.47%

Score analysis

Eibar 52.23%
Draw 26.44%
Malaga 21.33%
Eibar
1-0 @ 14%
2-1 @ 10.1%
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.28%
Other @ 6.43%
Total : 52.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.44%
Malaga
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.3%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.33%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Aug 16, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 36
Apr 21, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
  • Ivan Gil 24' yellowcard
  • Antonio Puertas 37' yellowcard
  • Jon Bautista 45'+3' goal
  • Nelson Monte 71' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Einar Galilea 20'
  • goal Diego Murillo 60'
  • goal Rafa Rodriguez 70'
Segunda Division Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • David Larrubia 15' goal
  • Luismi 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Corpas 53'
  • yellowcard Cristian Gutierrez 58'
  • yellowcard Toni 84'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Carrillo Alacid 90'
Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 15, 2023 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
  • Stoichkov 32' goal
  • Juan Berrocal 90' goal
  • goal Esteban Burgos 88'
Segunda Division Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • goal Quique 21'
Segunda Division Gameweek 37
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brandon 4' goal
  • Alberto Escassi 31' redcard
  • Javi Jimenez 43' yellowcard
  • Ramon Enriquez 45' yellowcard
  • Kevin Medina 50' yellowcard
  • Dani Barrio 69' yellowcard
  • Luis Munoz 69' redcard
  • Paulino de la Fuente 70' yellowcard
  • Brandon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Victor Gomez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Corpas 37'
  • yellowcard Tono 63'
  • yellowcard Fernando Llorente 73'
  • goal Fran Sol 78'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Tejero 82'
  • goal Fran Sol 90'+6'