Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%) , while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.15%).