-
Chupe
12'
-
Julen Lobete
70'
-
Haitam Abaida
78'
-
Eneko Jauregi
79'
-
Chupe
85'
-
Álex Calatrava
27'
-
Ronaldo
46'
-
Awer Mabil
67'
-
Álex Calatrava
68'
-
Álex Calatrava
76'
-
Raúl Sánchez
79'
-
Tincho Conde
86'
-
Salva Ruiz
86'
Malaga vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result
Malaga
38.66%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
28.37%
▲
(+0.14)
Castellon
32.94%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
49.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.43%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
30.57%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 2.5
44.14%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
55.86%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
22.84%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
77.16%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
11.96%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
88.04%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Malaga
27.57%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
43.35%
▼
(-0.18)
Castellon
29.08%
▼
(-0.07)
Team To Score First
Malaga
40.15%
▲
(+0.34)
No Goal
9.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Castellon
50.19%
▼
(-0.39)
Corners
Over 8
51.63%
▲
(+0.35)
Equal 8
12.29%
Under 8
36.08%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 9
39.69%
▲
(+0.30)
Equal 9
11.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 9
48.37%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 10.5
29.08%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 10.5
70.92%
▼
(-0.25)
Malaga Goals
Over 1.5
35.06%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
64.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
12.92%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
87.08%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
3.79%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
96.21%
▼
(-0.04)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5
64.73%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
35.27%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
31.34%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
68.66%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
11.73%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
88.27%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
3.52%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
96.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Malaga
38.65%
Draw
28.38%
Castellon
32.94%
Malaga
1-0
@
11.52%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.65%
2-1 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.65%
Draw
1-1
@
12.76%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.38%
0-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.38%
Castellon
0-1
@
9.36%
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 32.94%
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 32.94%