Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.26% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.45%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%) , while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.