Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.