Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.63% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.