Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.86% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 28.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 1-0 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.