Segunda Division
Jan 26, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marcos Fernandez Sanchez 38' goal
  • Marcos Fernández 38' goal
  • Jose Campana 42' goal
  • José Campaña 42' goal
  • Konrad de la Fuente 65' yellowcard
  • Yann Bodiger 70' yellowcard
  • Marino Illescas Montaño 71' yellowcard
  • Marino Illescas 71' yellowcard
  • Salvi 82' yellowcard
  • Marc Domènech 82' yellowcard
  • Marc Domenech 83' yellowcard
  • Yann Bodiger 90'+5' goal
  • goal Rafael Tresaco Blasco 32'
  • goal Rafa Tresaco 32'
  • yellowcard Sergio Maestre 62'
  • yellowcard Ruben Sobrino 62'
  • yellowcard Sergi Maestre 62'
  • yellowcard Rubén Sobrino 62'
  • yellowcard Victor Garcia 69'
  • yellowcard Victor Moreno Alcala 69'
  • yellowcard Víctor García 69'
  • yellowcard Víctor Moreno 69'
  • yellowcard Manu Justo 83'

Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 1.00pm
Ceuta 0 - 0 Valladolid
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Cultural Leonesa

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.15pm
Leonesa 0 - 0 Sporting Gijon
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Ivan Calero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cultural Leonesa win was 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 45.62% (+0.06)
Draw 25.94%
Cultural Leonesa 28.47% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.62% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.17% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 55.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.69% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 65.31% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.28% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 78.72% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 34.29%
Draw 45.83%
Cultural Leonesa 19.88%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 58.03%
No Goal 6.34%
Cultural Leonesa 35.63%

Corners

Over 8 60%
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 28.68%
Over 9 48.27%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 39.99%
Over 10.5 37.11%
Under 10.5 62.89%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 46.89% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.11% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 22.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 77.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.83% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.17% (-0.04)

Cultural Leonesa Goals

Over 0.5 64.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.1% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.44% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.56% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.99% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.47%
Under 3.5 94.53%

Score analysis

Ceuta 45.63%
Draw 25.94%
Cultural Leonesa 28.46%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.38% (+0.05)
Total : 45.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.94%
Cultural Leonesa
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 28.46%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Oct 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT