Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2026 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marcos Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Cristian Rodríguez 60' yellowcard
  • Salvi 60' yellowcard
  • Carlos Redru 75' yellowcard
  • Albert Caparrós 75' yellowcard
  • goal David Torres 41'
  • goal Víctor Meseguer 52'
  • goal Chuki 54'
  • yellowcard Iván Garriel 67'
  • yellowcard Mario Maroto 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Tomeo 73'
  • yellowcard Stipe Biuk 79'
  • yellowcard Mathis Lachuer 79'

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 3.15pm
Malaga 2 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 1.00pm
Leganes 1 - 0 Valladolid
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Peter

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 26.42% and a draw has a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win is 0-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.11%).

Result

Ceuta 47.65%
Draw 25.93%
Real Valladolid 26.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.32%
Under 2.5 49.68% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.37% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.33% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.67% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 32.34%
Draw 46.25%
Real Valladolid 21.41%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 54.57%
No Goal 7.27%
Real Valladolid 38.16%

Corners

Over 8 55.9%
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 32.34%
Over 9 44.09%
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 44.1%
Over 10.5 33.22%
Under 10.5 66.78%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 45.01% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.99% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.71% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.59% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.41% (+0.01)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 61.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.06%
Under 2.5 89.94%
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Ceuta 47.65%
Draw 25.93%
Real Valladolid 26.43%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.41% (-0.01)
Total : 47.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.93%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 7.35%
1-2 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Aug 15, 2025 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT