Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 3.15pm
Malaga 2 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Jose Matos

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 1.00pm
Leganes 1 - 0 Valladolid
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Peter

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 26.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win is 0-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).

Result

Ceuta 47.65%
Draw 25.93%
Real Valladolid 26.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.24%
Under 1.5 25.76%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%
Over 3.5 28.43%
Under 3.5 71.57%
Over 4.5 16.37%
Under 4.5 83.63%

First Half Winner

Ceuta 32.34%
Draw 46.22%
Real Valladolid 21.43%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 54.57%
No Goal 7.26%
Real Valladolid 38.17%

Corners

Over 8 55.91%
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 32.33%
Over 9 44.1%
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 44.09%
Over 10.5 33.23%
Under 10.5 66.77%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 45.04%
Under 1.5 54.96%
Over 2.5 20.32%
Under 2.5 79.68%
Over 3.5 7.6%
Under 3.5 92.4%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 61.83%
Under 0.5 38.17%
Over 1.5 28.48%
Under 1.5 71.52%
Over 2.5 10.09%
Under 2.5 89.91%
Over 3.5 3.02%
Under 3.5 96.98%

Score analysis

Ceuta 47.64%
Draw 25.92%
Real Valladolid 26.43%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.82%
Other @ 7.42%
Total : 47.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.92%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Aug 15, 2025 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT